
The Ontario real estate market has shifted fast. After years of rapid price growth, many homeowners and buyers are now facing a very different reality — especially in the condo segment.
If you’re trying to understand what’s happening and how it affects your next move, here’s a clear, no-fluff breakdown.
Over the past year, we’ve seen:
Detached and semi-detached homes are holding value better in some areas, but condos — especially downtown Toronto — have been hit harder due to oversupply and investors exiting the market.
Several things are putting pressure on condos:
• Investors are selling instead of buying
• First-time buyers are priced out by high rates
• Higher maintenance and condo fees
• Slower immigration-driven demand compared to previous years
Many condo investors bought during peak pricing with low interest rates. Now, with higher mortgage renewals and weaker rental profits, some are being forced to sell — increasing supply and lowering prices.
Without getting too technical, what we’re seeing right now is:
• Prices are 10–25% lower than 2022 peaks in many condo markets
• Sales volumes are still weak compared to normal years
• Buyers have more negotiating power than they’ve had in a decade
This doesn’t mean the market is crashing — but it does mean buyers finally have leverage again.
If you’re buying in Ontario right now:
✔ More inventory to choose from
✔ More room to negotiate price
✔ Less competition and bidding wars
✔ Better inspection and condition clauses
But… higher interest rates mean your monthly payments may still feel high even if prices are lower.
Smart buyers are focusing on:
If you already own property, especially a condo:
• Your home might be worth less than in 2022
• Refinancing options may be tighter
• Cashflow may be worse if you rent
But here’s the key:
Selling during a slowdown is usually not ideal unless you’re forced.
Instead, many homeowners are:
This is where smart mortgage structuring matters more than ever.
Short answer:
It depends on your goals, timeline, and financial position.
Buy if:
Hold (instead of selling) if:
Ontario’s housing market isn’t “dead” — it’s just recalibrating after years of extreme activity.
The people who navigate this well won’t be the ones guessing.
They’ll be the ones who understand their options and plan strategically. As the #1 alternative mortgage broker in Ontario, we help homeowners navigate market shifts, rising rates, and lending challenges with flexible private and alternative solutions.
If you want help reviewing your mortgage strategy or exploring smart financing options during this market shift, reach out to our team.